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But does that belief hold up to scientific scrutiny

The model achieves high mean performance across all metrics, with an accuracy of 98.08%, precision of 98.42%, recall of 97.69%, F1-score of 98.05%, and AUC of 99.63%

Sustained cigarette volume declines steeper than the current 4% adjusted rate remain the clearest threat to the model, particularly if trade-down pressure from the Iran conflicts energy cost pass-through persists into the second half